Observed operations
The 2026 interstate war
A strike campaign that opened on one February morning and reorganised a region's energy, shipping and security in six months.
Conflict coverage · Iran–Gulf
Context, not targeting. Campaign records describe objectives, participants, phases and outcomes at the level of published analysis; they contain no current positions, force ratios, unit locations or strengths.
Campaigns2 sustained efforts in Iran–Gulf, each grouping the events that belong to it. Status describes where a campaign stands, never who is winning.
Observed operations
The twelve-day war, June 2025
Twelve days that established direct state-on-state exchange, and after which the inspectors did not go back.
Evidence and grading
- Observed operation
- Documented as having occurred or as occurring, with sources. Its lifecycle status says where it stands.
- Confidence
- How well established Vigil considers this assessment to be. It is not a measure of how severe the situation is.