PoliticalDiplomaticGeorgia / Abkhazia / South Ossetia
Two weeks after the ceasefire, Russia recognises both breakaway regions as independent states and signs basing agreements with each. Only a handful of states follow; the rest of the world continues to recognise both as part of Georgia.
Why it mattersRecognition ended the ambiguity of the 1990s formats: Russian troops in both entities became a declared, permanent presence, and the entities themselves became dependencies whose "independence" is indistinguishable from alignment. It also broke, deliberately, the taboo Russia had itself defended over Kosovo.
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