發生了什麼
UKMTO於10月16日發布的每週概覽列出10月13日在海峽內遭打擊的四艘船舶。其中一艘貨櫃船起火、漂流，並於10月14日在海峽內沉沒，船員已撤離，無人受傷；新加坡海事主管機關證實懸掛新加坡國旗的GFS PRIDE號沉沒，專業媒體稱這是此次戰爭中第二起經證實的大型遠洋船舶沉沒。伊朗表示該船觸雷。10月16日，據轉述，UKMTO報告一艘油輪在沙烏地阿拉伯Al Jubail東北方約68浬處遭到打擊。UKMTO統計截至10月14日的一週內共有十二起攻擊，其中十起發生在海峽內，表示大多數遭攻擊的船舶不再向其通報，並估計本週合計通行比衝突前水準低約70%。10月13日，伊朗海軍表示已在海峽以東以新的編隊部署部隊，並敦促船舶與伊朗武裝部隊協調以安全通行。
THE PHYSICAL RISK SPREAD, AND THE COUNT BECAME A FLOOR. A month earlier the strikes were in the strait's lanes; in this window they reached Saudi Arabia's Gulf coast and sank a ship. UKMTO's own statement that most attacked ships do not report makes its tally a lower bound, and its pattern — strikes falling mostly on the southern route while most ships broadcasting their positions use the route through Iranian waters — is the sharpest fact in the window. Iran's navy statement is a declared reach over waters no riparian has given it authority over; it is unilateral and it is not a régime. Nothing here establishes who fired on any vessel: Iran claimed none of that week's strikes, and its mine account of the sinking is a party's.
信心：中等
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