Deliberately slower than the news: each brief is written when the picture has settled, not while it is moving.
Sahel developments — 1 November 2026
The week's material change was an authorisation, not a deployment, and it came from outside the AES. On 25 October both chambers of Algeria's parliament approved sending army units to Niger to protect energy facilities; by the cutoff no Algerian or Nigerien statement and no second outlet confirmed that any unit had arrived. Niger accused Chad, with French support, of a drone strike that killed two civilians near Emi Lulu on 24 October, and Chad rejected it. In Mali the state's campaign again fell on civilians: an army drone strike killed 13 at a nomad camp near Goundam, by local sources' count, and villagers told RFI that soldiers and Africa Corps killed herders' livestock and burned homes near Diéma. No attack on a position or a supply convoy was found. The Russia–Africa summit closed with three general documents, none of which, by the accounts read, names the AES states. Burkina Faso remained a limit of visibility, not calm.
Earlier reviews
15 reviews, newest first. Each is a dated record with its own page, sources and confidence grades — including the reviews that found nothing, which say so.
2026-10-25
Sahel developments — 25 October 2026
2026-10-18
Sahel developments — 18 October 2026
2026-10-11
Sahel developments — 11 October 2026
2026-10-04
Sahel developments — 4 October 2026
2026-09-27
Sahel developments — 27 September 2026
2026-09-20
Sahel developments — 20 September 2026
2026-09-13
Sahel Regional System developments — 13 September 2026
2026-09-06
Sahel Regional System developments — 6 September 2026
2026-08-30
Mali developments — 30 August 2026
2026-08-23
Mali developments — 23 August 2026
2026-08-16
Mali developments — 16 August 2026
2026-08-09
Mali developments — 9 August 2026
2026-08-02
Mali developments — 2 August 2026
2026-07-26
Mali developments — 26 July 2026
2026-07-15
Mali developments — 15 July 2026